What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?
What happens when you analyze your favorite college football team like the CIA?
A lifelong Illinois fan applies intelligence analysis methods to college football. After a home loss to Duke, his model's playoff odds dropped from 8% to 4%, but forecasts for the offensive line and quarterback improved. The experiment reveals how to update beliefs based on evidence rather than letting one game dictate the entire season's outlook.
A loss is obviously important, but it doesn't follow that everything you believed about the team should move in the same direction.
- williadc
The Culinary Institute of America doesn't have a football team that I can find, but I would still like to analyze it.
- tocs3
The kicker has a drug habit. The quarterback is making a suspicious number of overseas call. The coach is having an extramarital affair that could be exploited by a blackmailer.
- ungreased0675
Fascinating project.
How are the probabilities being measured? I’m skeptical of AI analysis because my past experience is that it appears to be analyzing, but behind the curtain there’s not even a fraction of the same rigor a human analyst would have done. In other words It’s very shallow but looks deep.