542 dead mental health startups: who pays predicts survival, not the founding team

Dataset: Dead mental health startups, 2000-2026, coded on 18 fields

542 dead mental health startups: who pays predicts survival, not the founding team

A dataset of 542 digital mental health companies that died between 2000 and 2026, coded on 18 fields including business model, payer, funding, and reason for exit. Analysis reveals a stark pattern: companies relying on consumer payments died at 53%, while those with institutional payers (employers, insurers, clinics) died at only 21%. A medical co-founder made no difference to exit rates (47% vs. 47%). The classification is LLM-assisted, with full rationale provided for transparency.

Who pays predicts survival far better than anything on the founding team.
  1. jabiko

    Starting at page 20, the report looks like someone let AI create a HTML page and then just converted it to PDF. There are misplaced "Calendar", "Money Bag" and "Globe" emojis floating above the title of each startup analysis.

    I suspect that nobody, including the authors, ever read this 391 page report.

  2. palmotea

    Does this include the several stupid "thin wrapper on ChatGPT to 'help' people with depression/ADHD/etc." startups that I recall from about two seconds after ChatGPT came out?

    Basically: "I want to be a founder, I have no expertise and a superficial understanding of the domain but I've got some tech, so here's a non-solution I'm selling as 'the best thing ever for you.'"

  3. w10-1

    Post-mortem's are very useful, though often not welcome.

    I appreciate the top-line summary and the approach looks promising, but I don't have time to sort through the data or details.

    Both are likely common, so don't be disheartened by complaints :)

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