A 2011 Bet That the Original URL Would Die by 2022

"The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years." (2011)

In 2011, Keith and Haughey made a $1,000 bet on longbets.org: would the original URL for their prediction still work in 2022? Keith argued that link rot is the entropy of the web, making survival unlikely. Haughey countered that with mature technology and strategies, stable URIs are within reach. The bet's terms specified that on February 22, 2022, the URL must return an HTML page containing the exact prediction text, with a 301 redirect also acceptable. The outcome would decide which charity received the money.