AI's debt binge can't last, hidden borrowing reaches $1.65T

AI's debt binge can't last, hidden borrowing reaches $1.65T

AI hyperscalers are on track to issue a record $400 billion in bonds this year, but hidden debts—off-balance-sheet commitments like GPU purchase deals and data center leases—have exploded to $1.65 trillion, exceeding their on-balance-sheet debt. S&P warns that market participants are growing leery of rapidly rising leverage, while Moody's flags $1.2 trillion in debt-equivalent liabilities. The shift from asset-light to asset-heavy models requires unprecedented capital, and the rivers of capital may not flow as freely forever.

Market participants are growing leery of quickly rising leverage from issuers previously characterized by strong and reliable cash flow.

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2026-08-03