Falcon 9 Upper Stage Set to Impact the Moon on August 5, 2026
Upper stage impacting the moon on 2026 August 5
I predict that a discarded Falcon 9 upper stage will strike the Moon on August 5, 2026. While this event poses no danger, it highlights the careless disposal of space junk. My software analyzed observations from asteroid surveys and amateur astronomers to forecast this impact, noting that solar radiation pressure introduces some uncertainty to the exact timing and location.
It doesn't present any danger to anyone, though it does highlight a certain carelessness about how leftover space hardware is disposed of.